Carlos Ortiz has his sights on a repeat when the PGA Tour returns to Memorial Park for the 2021 Houston Open, which tees off Thursday. Ortiz got his first, and so far only, PGA Tour victory last year when the tournament returned to the course for the first time in almost 60 years. The 30-year-old was the runner-up last week in Mexico and looks to become the first golfer to defend in Houston since Vijay Singh in 2004-05. He will have to contend with a strong field that includes FedEx Cup leader Sam Burns and fellow young stars Sungjae Im and Matthew Wolff. Four-time major champion Brooks Koepka is also scheduled to tee off Thursday, and he was a consultant on the renovation of the course in 2019.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Burns as the 16-1 favorite in its latest 2021 Houston Open golf odds, followed closely by Scottie Scheffler at 18-1. Among the other players expected to contend from the 2021 Houston Open field are Im (22-1), Wolff (25-1) and Tony Finau (25-1), while Koepka is listed at 30-1 and Ortiz at 33-1. Before you make any 2021 Houston Open bets or any PGA Tour predictions, you need to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.
The esteemed golf insider has been around the game for many years and knows what it takes to win. Last week before the event in Mexico, Johnson had Viktor Hovland among his players to watch, while he predicted Koepka would miss the cut.
"We still don't know if he is healthy and ready to go," Johnson told SportsLine of Koepka. "He tried to play last year and missed the cut. I have a funny feeling that we will see the same this week."
The 31-year-old didn't break par and went home early again, while Hovland shot 23 under to cruise to a four-stroke victory.
Johnson has been on a strong run already this season. Before the Zozo Championship in Japan, Johnson tabbed Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets, and he was right on the money. Matsuyama shot a final-round 65 and won by five strokes after trailing by one with eight holes to play on Sunday.
At the Sanderson Farms Championship, Johnson nailed Burns as his winner. Anyone who has followed Johnson's advice has cashed in huge.
Now Johnson, the first producer of "Inside the PGA Tour," a longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, and founder of the world's top golf stats database, has released his highly confident 2021 Houston Open golf picks, and they will surprise you. You can only see Johnson's expert PGA Tour picks at SportsLine.
Top 2021 Houston Open golf predictions
In a major surprise, the golf expert is slightly fading Tony Finau. The 32-year-old is among the favorites, but he is not off to a great start to this season. He has T-45 finishes in his two events, and it looks like he could need time to regain his groove. Finau closed last season with a Northern Trust victory, a T-15 at the BMW and T-11 in the Tour Championship, so he can definitely go low. But he is 123rd in driving accuracy and 93rd in greens in regulation. He was T-24 last year at Memorial Park, so there isn't any obvious reason for optimism this week.
On the other hand, Johnson is looking to see if Burns will continue his torrid pace to start his 2021-22 season. The 25-year-old won the Sanderson Farms and was T-5 at the CJ Cup, and a final-round 72 cost him another stellar finish at the Shriners, where he wound up T-14. He is 58-under par over his three events so far and had eight top-10 finishes last season, including his Valspar win. He has been locked in on the greens, hitting almost 79 percent in regulation (third on tour), and is hitting fairways (68.45 percent, 20th). He finished T-7 in Houston last year.
The stats guru also knows Wolff is destined for success, and it could come sooner than later. The 22-year-old comes off a tie for fifth in Mexico last week, and he led the tournament after two rounds. He has finished no lower than T-17 in three events this season. He is 52-under par over the three events, shooting in the 60's in 10 of the 12 rounds. He shot a third-round 74 at El Camaleon last week but bounced back with a 65 on Sunday. He is second in scoring average (69.079), 11th in greens in regulation (76.39 percent) and 18th in strokes gained putting.
How to make 2021 Houston Open golf picks
For this week's event in Houston, the golf expert is backing a stunning long shot who comes in at well over 60-1. This veteran had a strong finish at last year's Houston Open and had some surprising moments at the tail end of last season. He also went really low in the final round of his most recent event. He could pull off a stunning result this week, and anyone who backs this underdog could cash in huge. You can only see this 2021 Houston Open pick and the rest of Johnson's PGA betting advice at SportsLine.
Who wins the 2021 Houston Open? Where do Sam Burns and Matthew Wolff finish? And which massive long-shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson's full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2021 Houston Open, all from the insider who knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour, and find out.
2021 Houston Open odds, field, top contenders:
Sam Burns 16-1
Scottie Scheffler 18-1
Sungjae Im 22-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Matthew Wolff 25-1
Tony Finau 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 28-1
Talor Gooch 30-1
Joaquin Niemann 30-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Patrick Reed 33-1
Carlos Ortiz 33-1
Adam Scott 33-1
Aaron Wise 33-1
Marc Leishman 25-1
Maverick McNealy 40-1
Russell Henley 45-1
Shane Lowry 45-1
Cameron Tringale 45-1
Max Homa 45-1
Mackenzie Hughes 50-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50-1
Seamus Power 50-1
Lanto Griffin 50-1
Jason Kokrak 50-1
Harold Varner 55-1
Erik Van Rooyen 60-1
Mito Pereira 60-1
Branden Grace 66-1
Sebastian Munoz 70-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Emiliano Grillo 80-1
Ian Poulter 80-1
Jason Day 80-1
Kevin Streelman 80-1
Joel Dahmen 80-1
Jhonattan Vegas 90-1
Russell Knox 90-1
Adam Long 90-1
Chad Ramey 90-1
Cameron Davis 90-1
Brian Harman 90-1
Charley Hoffman 90-1
Ryan Palmer 100-1
Taylor Pendrith 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Chez Reavie 100-1
C.T. Pan 100-1
Taylor Moore 100-1
Matthias Schwab 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Adam Schenk 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Brian Stuard 125-1
Sepp Straka 125-1
Henrik Norlander 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Harry Higgs 125-1
Martin Laird 125-1
Stewart Cink 125-1
Sahith Theegala 125-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Greyson Sigg 150-1
James Hahn 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Robert Streb 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
Henrik Stenson 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Andrew Landry 150-1
Hudson Swafford 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1
Dylan Frittelli 150-1
J.J. Spaun 150-1
Wyndham Clark 175-1
Tyler Duncan 175-1
Andrew Putnam 175-1
Stephan Jaeger 175-1
Adam Svensson 175-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
Kyle Stanley 200-1
Graeme McDowell 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Brandt Snedeker 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Peter Uihlein 200-1
Matthew NeSmith 200-1
David Lipsky 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Vincent Whaley 200-1
Doc Redman 200-1
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2021 Houston Open picks, odds, field: Proven PGA insider says back Sam Burns, fade Tony Finau at Memorial Park - CBS Sports
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